‘We Are Not Even Beginning to Be Over This’

The 5 stages of the coronavirus pandemic

Robert Roy Britt
Elemental
Published in
5 min readJun 30, 2020

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Photo: Noam Galai/Getty Images

The explosion in Covid-19 cases across much of the United States is no surprise to the scientists who study infectious diseases and how they spread.

The coronavirus is just doing what viruses do, hopping from one human to another however it can in order to keep reproducing. And this one is doing it exceptionally well. It infects all ages, kills older people at higher rates, and leaves many, especially younger people, without symptoms so they’ll continue an unwitting spread.

By easing lockdowns too early and abruptly across all sectors of the economy, without sufficient requirements for face masks or physical distancing, governors in several states played with fire — fire that the scientists fully predicted — and now their fires are out of control.

New cases of Covid-19 are increasing in 35 states, with more than 2.6 million total confirmed cases and over 126,000 deaths, exceeding the number of total deaths from flu outbreaks or any other infectious disease outbreak in a single year or season since the 1918–19 influenza pandemic.

And, crazy as it sounds, it’s only just begun.

While Covid-19 deaths had been declining since a peak in mid-April…

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Elemental
Elemental

Published in Elemental

Elemental is a former publication from Medium for science-backed health and wellness coverage. Currently inactive and not taking submissions.

Robert Roy Britt
Robert Roy Britt

Written by Robert Roy Britt

Editor of Wise & Well on Medium + the Writer's Guide at writersguide.substack.com. Author of Make Sleep Your Superpower: amazon.com/dp/B0BJBYFQCB

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