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What to Make of Research Suggesting Immunity to Covid-19 Is Short-Lived

Be careful not to jump to conclusions

Yasmin Tayag
Elemental
5 min readJul 14, 2020

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Credit: zhangshuang/Getty Images

Yesterday, a preprint that was recently posted to the server medRxiv (meaning the study has not undergone peer review, an important step for accurate science research) generated a flurry of excitement — and criticism — for its implication that immunity to the coronavirus might only last a few months. The paper suggested that the levels of antibodies people produce in response to Covid-19 infection rapidly decline after they hit their peak.

The paper’s findings, which were covered by large news outlets like The Guardian, CNBC, and CNN, suggest that people’s immunity after a Covid-19 infection wanes over time. And that doesn’t seem to bode well for hopes of herd immunity or a vaccine. A couple days earlier, Vox published a story written by a doctor suggesting that a patient who recovered from Covid-19 got reinfected, raising similar concerns about immunity to the coronavirus.

But as critics pointed out on Twitter, these case studies need to be a part of a larger understanding and study of Covid-19 and immunity. The study has not yet been reviewed by scientists, and the Vox story is a single opinion piece about one case. Importantly, this framing also assumes that antibodies are the only way to achieve immunity…

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Elemental
Elemental

Published in Elemental

Elemental is a former publication from Medium for science-backed health and wellness coverage. Currently inactive and not taking submissions.

Yasmin Tayag
Yasmin Tayag

Written by Yasmin Tayag

Editor, Medium Coronavirus Blog. Senior editor at Future Human by OneZero. Previously: science at Inverse, genetics at NYU.

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