Member-only story

We Had Every Reason to Be Prepared for This Pandemic

Time and time again, experts foretold of a coronavirus-type outbreak

Elad Simchayoff
Elemental
7 min readMay 30, 2020

--

Health care professionals prepare to screen people for the coronavirus at a testing site in a parking lot at FedEx Field on March 30, 2020 in Landover, Maryland. Photo: Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

Event 201

On a Friday morning last October, 15 international key figures in business, government, and public health assembled at the luxurious New York Pierre Hotel. At least 130 people came to watch the 3.5-hour event put on by The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, the World Economic Forum, and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation.

The participants were asked to debate, form a strategy, discuss possible outcomes, tackle challenges, and find solutions all based on a scripted, imaginary scenario. Yawn, right? Well, not quite. For “Event 201,” the scenario that was chosen started with a fake news bulletin that went something like this:a new and unknown disease, modeled largely on SARS, is causing a worldwide pandemic. It originated by bats, transmitted to pigs, and then humans. There’s no vaccine, no drug, the human population is all susceptible.” The made-up — yes, made-up — scenario ends a year and a half after the initial outbreak, with 65 million casualties and a devastating effect on the economy.

Writing, meet the wall

The existing volume of literature, texts, articles, and research warning against a…

--

--

Elemental
Elemental

Published in Elemental

Elemental is a former publication from Medium for science-backed health and wellness coverage. Currently inactive and not taking submissions.

Elad Simchayoff
Elad Simchayoff

Written by Elad Simchayoff

I love writing about what I love. Israeli/British. Father, husband, dog person. Support me by joining Medium via this link: https://eladsi.medium.com/membership

Responses (2)